Lille vs Feyenoord predictions: Home advantage to prove the difference
&w=707&quality=100)
- Lille have won four of their last five home matches
- Feyenoord have lost the xG battle in five of seven Champions League games
- Recommended bet: Lille to win and both teams to score
Lille and Feyenoord are surprise contenders for a top-eight finish in the Champions League, being locked together on 13 points and just behind eighth-placed Bayer Leverkusen on goal difference.
A vital victory for either side in Lille could put them right in the mix for an automatic place in the last-16 of the competition.
Team news
Lille head into this game without Benjamin Andre and Aissa Mandi, who are both suspended, while the hosts also have five injury absentees, with Samuel Umtiti and Nabil Bentaleb among those missing out.
Feyenoord have four players ruled out through injury, alongside doubts over Quilindschy Hartman and Hwang In-Beom.
The stats
Lille have won four of their five home games in this season’s Champions League.
Feyenoord are unbeaten on their travels in Europe, but have conceded plenty of chances in those games, the Dutch side have an xG Against total of 6 across their three away games in the competition.
Feyenoord have lost to Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven within their last five games, winning only twice during that run.
Lille have won four of their last six Champions League games, with BTTS landing on five occasions, while both teams have scored in five of Feyenoord’s previous six in Europe.
Prediction
A top-24 finish would have been the goal for both of these sides at the start of the season, so this campaign has to be regarded as a success for both.
However, this is a golden chance to break into the top eight which might not come around again, easing their fixture schedule and leaping straight into the last-16 is a huge prize for both sides.
Lille look better positioned in this one, having won four of their last five at home. They have also won all but one of their five home matches in the Champions League this season, taking down Real Madrid in the process.
Feyenoord’s success looks less sustainable, as they have caught some teams at a good time this season. They are unbeaten following visits to Girona, Benfica and Manchester City, but the Dutch side conceded 6.0 Expected Goals across those matches.
The visitors are given away chances at a high rate, something this Lille side can take advantage of, while Feyenoord have also hit a shaky spell of form, with defeats to PSV Eindhoven and Utrecht among their last five results.
The visitors can still get on the scoresheet, with both teams finding the net in five of their last six.
Lille have seen both teams score in five of their previous six Champions League matches, winning four of those. As a result, back a home win and both teams to score.
Win up to £250,000 with LiveScore 6!
Win up to £250,000 with our free-to-play game, LiveScore 6!
